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Unghosted Rolex Wait Index

Rolex · half-year comparison · % finishing in ≤3 months

63.2%

2026 H1 · n=546

63.2 percent of Rolex buyers in 2026 H1 got their watch within three months, versus 57.5 percent in 2023 H2 (n=393).

Change: +5.7 pp from 2023 H2 to 2026 H1.

A rising number means more buyers are getting their watch quickly, so waits are getting shorter. A falling number means that share shrank.

This is a comparison between two well-powered half-year windows, not a live quarterly ticker. Sample sizes at current collection rates do not yet support reading quarter-to-quarter moves as market signal.

Quarterly detail

Quarterly figures are shown as supporting detail only. At current sample sizes, quarter-to-quarter swings of several points are well within sampling error and should not be read as market moves.

unghosted.io45%60%75%Q3 2023n=252Q4 2023n=141
gapuneven collection
unghosted.io45%60%75%Q1 2026n=335Q2 2026n=211
The middle period is unpublished because collection was uneven — not because the market vanished. Gaps are shown, never interpolated. Sample size is shown under each quarter.
  • Q3 2023: 61.5% (n=252)
  • Q4 2023: 50.4% (n=141)
  • Q1 2026: 66.9% (n=335) · after coverage gap
  • Q2 2026: 57.3% (n=211)

Definition

The Unghosted Rolex Wait Index is the percentage of quotable Rolex reports with a wait of three months or less (Walk-in / same day, Under 1 month, or 1-3 months). The headline figure compares complete half-years (2023 H2 and 2026 H1). Only quotable Rolex reports count; still-waiting and non-quotable waits are excluded.

A rising number means more buyers are getting their watch quickly, so waits are getting shorter. A falling number means that share shrank. Quarterly points below require at least 100 reports in a complete quarter. The middle period is unpublished because collection was uneven — not because the market vanished. Gaps are shown, never interpolated.

Wait bucketCounts as ≤3 months
Walk-in / same dayYes
Under 1 monthYes
1-3 monthsYes
3-6 monthsNo
6-12 monthsNo
1-2 yearsNo
2-3 yearsNo
3-5 yearsNo
5+ yearsNo

Latest State of the Waitlist · Check a specific wait

Cite: Unghosted Rolex Wait Index, 2026 H1. unghosted.io/wait-index